{"id":10014,"date":"2023-11-11T11:59:18","date_gmt":"2023-11-11T11:59:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lendingsensibly.com\/economy\/investors-wary-of-lingering-treasury-volatility-as-us-stocks-rally\/"},"modified":"2023-11-11T11:59:19","modified_gmt":"2023-11-11T11:59:19","slug":"investors-wary-of-lingering-treasury-volatility-as-us-stocks-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lendingsensibly.com\/?p=10014","title":{"rendered":"Investors wary of lingering Treasury volatility as US stocks rally"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed<\/p>\n

NEW YORK (Reuters) – A still-jittery bond market is clouding the outlook for a rally in U.S. stocks, analysts tracking measures of market volatility said.<\/p>\n

Stocks and bonds have been in a tight relationship over the last few months, with the surging nearly 7% in the last 10 sessions while the benchmark has tumbled 37 basis points from a 16-year high. <\/p>\n

At the same time, the Cboe Volatility Index,, which measures expectations for stock gyrations, has fallen to a seven-week low of 14.13.<\/p>\n

While such a retreat in Wall Street’s “fear gauge” would normally be a green light for stocks, there’s a catch: it has not been reflected in the most closely watched measure of Treasury volatility expectations, the MOVE index, which remains near its recent high. <\/p>\n

That could be a problem if Treasury yields – which move inversely to bond prices – resume a climb that has pressured stocks since the summer. <\/p>\n

“Equity markets have been the tail that’s being wagged by the rate market dog,” said Alex Kosoglyadov, managing director of equity derivatives at Nomura.<\/p>\n

The MOVE index is nearly eight times higher than its equity-focused counterpart. That compares to a three-decade average in which the MOVE has been just under five times the value of the .<\/p>\n

“Rates are ultimately the foundation of the house, and if the foundation is moving around dynamically, I don’t know how you can make the case that the VIX is going to 12,” Tallbacken Capital Advisors CEO Michael Purves said. A significant drop in Treasury market volatility would be great news for stock market bulls, Purves said. “That would be huge,” he said. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed NEW YORK (Reuters) – A still-jittery bond market is clouding the outlook for a rally in U.S. stocks, analysts tracking measures of market volatility said. Stocks and bonds have been in a tight relationship over the last few months, with the surging nearly 7% in the last 10 sessions while the benchmark has tumbled 37 basis points from a 16-year high. At the same time, the Cboe Volatility Index,, which measures expectations for stock gyrations, has fallen to a seven-week low of 14.13. While such a retreat in Wall Street’s “fear gauge” would normally be a<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy"],"yoast_head":"\nInvestors wary of lingering Treasury volatility as US stocks rally | LendingSensibly<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed NEW YORK (Reuters) - A still-jittery bond market is clouding the outlook for a rally in U.S. stocks, analysts tracking measures of\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lendingsensibly.com\/?p=10014\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Investors wary of lingering Treasury volatility as US stocks rally | LendingSensibly\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed NEW YORK (Reuters) - 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